I’ve revived a blog “tradition” that died for a couple of years in a row because of the pandemic. Or maybe it was because I was too lazy to do it? And that “tradition” is determining Oscar winners by using probability! Or die rolls, specifically!

I haven’t seen too many of the 2021 nominees on this Oscars “eve.” Nightmare Alley and Free Guy were the only ones I’ve seen so far.

To view other blogs I’ve done on this crazy subject, click here: wordpress.com/posts/hebontheweb.blog?s=Oscar+predictions+die+rolls

I used a 10 sided die to pick the best picture winner, and a six sided die for all other winners. In the cases of rolling 6, I rolled until I did not get a 6. Hey if you can think of a better way to pick Oscar winners, I’d like to hear it!

BEST PICTURE

Belfast

Coda

Don’t Look Up

Drive My Car

Dune

King Richard

Nightmare Alley

The Power of the Dog

West Side Story

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter

Ariana Debose, West Side Story

Judi Dench, Belfast

Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog

Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Ciaran Hinds, Belfast

Troy Kotsur, Coda

Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog

J.K. Simmons, Being the Ricardos

Kodi Smit McPhee, The Power of the Dog

BEST International FILM

Japan, Drive My Car

Denmark, Flee

Italy, The Hand of God

Bhutan, Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom

Norway, The Worst Person in the World

BEST DOCUMENTARY – SHORT

Audible

Lead Me Home

The Queen of Basketball

Three Songs for Benazir

When We Were Bullies

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Ascension

Attica

Flee

Summer of Soul (…Or When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)

Writing With Fire

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Be Alive, King Richard

Dos Oroguitas, Encanto

Down To Joy, Belfast

No Time To Die, No Time To Die

Somehow You Do, Four Good Days

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Encanto

Flee

Luca

The Mitchells vs. The Machines

Raya and the Last Dragon

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Coda

Drive My Car

Dune

The Lost Daughter

The Power of the Dog

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Belfast

Don’t Look Up

King Richard

Licorice Pizza

The Worst Person In The World

BEST ACTOR – LEADING ROLE

Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos

Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog

Andrew Garfield, tick, tick…BOOM!

Will Smith, King Richard

Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of MacBeth

BEST ACTRESS – LEADING ROLE

Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter

Penelope Cruz,  Parallel Mothers

Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos

Kristen Stewart, Spencer

BEST DIRECTOR

Kenneth Branagh, Belfast

Ryuske Hamaguchi, Drive My Car

Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza

Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog

Steven Spielberg, West Side Story

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Dune

Nightmare Alley

The Power of the Dog

The Tragedy of Macbeth

West Side Story

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Dune

Nightmare Alley

The Power of the Dog

The Tragedy of Macbeth

West Side Story

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Cruella

Cyrano

Dune

Nightmare Alley

West Side Story

BEST SOUND EDITING

Belfast

Dune

No Time to Die

The Power of the Dog

West Side Story

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

Affairs of the Heart

Bestia

Boxballet

Robin Robin

The Windshield Wiper

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

Take and Run

The Dress

The Long Goodbye

On My Mind

Please Hold

BEST ORIGINAL MUSIC SCORE

Don’t Look Up, Nicholas Britell

Dune, Hans Zimmer

Encanto, Alexandre Desplat

Marriage Story, Germaine Franco

The Power of the Dog, Jonny Greenwood

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Dune

Free Guy

No Time To Die

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

Spider-Man: No Way Home

BEST FILM EDITING

Don’t Look Up

Dune

King Richard

The Power of the Dog

tick…tick…BOOM!

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIR STYLING

Coming 2 America

Cruella

Dune

The eyes of Tammy Faye

House of Gucci